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Today, the stock market gapped higher, but an accident happened Today's stock market can be described as a twists and turns, because when the market opened in the morning, the stock market gapped higher, then began to fluctuate, and then began to gradually rise. There is a downward trend. Although the three major indexes of A-shares have all risen today, in terms of increases, in fact, there are still some shortcomings. The Shanghai Composite Index only rose slightly, and the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index did not increase by more than 1%. As of the close, it can be seen that the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.22% throughout the day to close at 3122 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.69% throughout the day to close at 11283 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.7 points throughout the day. %, closed at 2366 points. It can be said that today, the three major A-share indices are in a rising trend, and the stock market is still gaping higher today. Overall, the stock market is still doing well today. However, an accident happened. This accident what is it then? I think there are three surprises. First, although the stock market has risen collectively today, the turnover today is very weak. According to relevant data, the turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets today is only more than 650 billion yuan. A low point of support. What does this mean? This shows that the stock market gapped higher and opened higher today. It is only a shrinking volume and rising. The trend of intraday capital entering the market is not obvious. It is just that some selling forces have weakened, and a little turnover will cause the stock market. rising phenomenon. As long as there is no heavy volume at the bottom, it is unlikely that the market will start, because there are currently many floating losses above the three major A-share indices. How can we take on the chips above with the current turnover? Therefore, shrinkage is not a good signal in the process of falling. Second, today, the three major A-share indices are clearly on the rise, but the main capital is still in a state of outflow, although the scale of main capital outflow has weakened compared to the previous trading days. However, it still leaked. The data shows that the net outflow of the main capital today reached 760 million. At present, the main capital has been outflowing for more than 10 consecutive trading days. Therefore, the capital situation is still relatively bad, and it is still when the stock market is rising. The emergence of capital outflows. third. The three major A-share indices have closed in the form of a doji for two consecutive trading days. Although the doji represents a change in the market, the position of the doji has caused the author to worry. Why is this? Woolen cloth? Because the market suddenly closed two dojis at the same position after a continuous sharp drop, which can only mean that the current rise is only a weak rebound after the fall, and the gains are relatively limited, only the opening. At that time, there was a wave of market gaps and high openings. Today, the stock market gapped high and opened high, but an accident happened. These three accidents, shrinking volume, capital outflow, and doji, then, in such a situation Under these circumstances, what will the stock market do next? Will the market continue to decline? In fact, in the author's opinion, since the Shanghai Composite Index has broken its sideways and has stepped out of a downward trend, in the short term, we should not seek the so-called reversal of the market, but should pay attention to where the bottom will appear. , which is the most important. As far as the current situation is concerned, A-shares are basically below all moving averages, and the squeezed hold is too heavy. Therefore, the stock market's reverse pumping market will be limited in the short term, but the ChiNext is about to fall near the 60-month line. This may be the first bottom of the GEM. The monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index is also about to form a bottom reversal triangle. However, it has not yet fallen to the previous low, including the ChiNext. Therefore, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets will continue to fall, but the decline is only estimated. will be limited. |