Just now, a sudden signal came, the stock market is not simple?

time:2022-12-09 16:46:12source:chakarski.com author:Individual stock analysis
Just now, a sudden signal came, the stock market is not simple?

In the early trading today, the stock market has been in a state of ups and downs. For a while, the stock market was red, but it soon turned into a green one. It was wandering back and forth between these two states. It can be said that in the early trading, A shares The shock clearly began to intensify. However, it is worth noting that just now, the sudden signal came, the stock market is not simple? The first signal, which is very interesting, is that although the three major A-share indices went up and down in early trading, when they fell, the decline could only be regarded as a slight decline. Some bad, why? Because, as of press time, the number of stocks in the Shanghai Composite Index has fallen as high as 1,575, and the number of stocks that have risen is only more than 500, while the number of stocks in the ChiNext has also reached more than 900, and only more than 200 have risen. That's it. The Shenzhen Component Index is similar. That is to say, under the circumstance that the index decline is not large, individual stocks are in a general downward trend. Therefore, the overall bearish atmosphere of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is still relatively strong today, even if the index turns red, Also the majority of falling stocks. Moreover, the overall hotspot atmosphere is very weak. In the early trading, the number of sectors that rose was less than 40, and the number of sectors that fell was as high as more than 400. Therefore, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets just now were really unsatisfactory. The second signal is that the securities sector is still in a downward trend. After closing a big negative line in the previous trading day, it is basically difficult to continue to attack, and it can only get out of the inertial decline. Therefore, securities The sector is very weak. The banking sector index has just stepped out of a wave of market support, but it is only a slight rise, and the overall willingness to support the market is not strong, so this also limits the short-term stock market bulls Atmosphere too. The third signal, after the previous two consecutive trading days, although the decline of the Shanghai Composite Index did start to slow down in early trading today, it is still in a sideways and below the chip-intensive area. In other words, the overall pressure on the Shanghai Composite Index is not small. Moreover, the upper moving average is so dense, which means that the power of floating loss chips is very large. In the case of insufficient turnover, how to break through the upper chip-intensive area ? Therefore, the stock market is unlikely to regain lost ground in the near term. Based on the sudden signal just now, the author believes that the stock market is not simple, so what will happen to the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets next? In fact, in the author's opinion, at present, the three major A-share indexes have basically established a downward channel, and the Shanghai Composite Index has broken the bottom of the sideways market on the previous trading day. Basically it's dangerous. If it is just a fake move, generally speaking, it will usually return to the sideways range on the second trading day. However, the current decline of the Shanghai Composite Index is somewhat direct, so this wave of decline is likely to be a real move. Since it is a falling market, then the trend will be changed, from the previous sideways to the current decline. The downward trend of the ChiNext Index is more direct. From the monthly chart, it is obviously heading for the 60-month support line below. Therefore, the author believes that the ChiNext market still has a wave of decline. However, in this wave of declines in the ChiNext market, the space may be limited. Because the 60-month line of the GEM is at 2250, which is not far from the current GEM. Even if the GEM index falls below this point, it will inevitably form the weekly, daily, and hourly charts. Multiple levels of divergence. Therefore, the author believes that the first bottom of the GEM index is likely to be near the 60-month line. Judging from the situation on the disk today, there has been a surge in the market for tourist attractions, hotels and catering, and automobiles. This may be related to the upcoming holiday, while the decline in concepts such as cloud games and network security is relatively dependent. forward. In general, after a wave of falling prices, the overall hot atmosphere of A-shares is still biased towards weakness, and the sentiment of bulls is not strong, and the focus is on risk control. Therefore, we need to wait and see more in the short term.
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