|
Will the stock market crash again tomorrow? three signal raids The stock market is too weak this week. Although it did go out of a wave of gapping rises on Tuesday, the stock market was in a sharp decline in the three trading days from Wednesday to Friday, especially on Friday. falling market. It was still affected by the upper quarterly line, which caused the Shanghai Composite Index to finally start to fall from the high point of the platform. I also mentioned this point before, the Shanghai Composite Index is unlikely to break through the sideways high point, but this wave of decline is so It was unexpectedly large. And, more importantly, the Shanghai Composite Index fell directly below the 900-day moving average on the daily chart and the 20-week line on the weekly chart. It can be said that the Shanghai Composite Index is now the most dangerous situation, why? Because, even if there will be a rise in this kind of broken-down market, then it is just a reverse pumping market after the fall. At present, the bottom has not yet appeared, and the next market situation of the stock market is basically to determine the bottom. So, tomorrow, the stock market will plummet? Three signal raids. The first signal that worries me the most is the trend on the monthly chart, because now an upper hammer star has been closed on the monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, and this upper hammer star has fallen below the 60-month line. . Not only that, this upper hammer star has a high action this month, but when it encountered the May line, it still failed to reach the high, and finally broke down and fell below the 60-month line. This is on the monthly chart. The trend of , the signal disclosed by it is more accurate. Therefore, according to the current situation, next week, or even this month, or next month, the stock market situation is not expected to be very good. Of course, there is also a wave of more positive signals on the current monthly chart. . The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a wave of upside in May and June. Therefore, it closed two positive lines, and began to fall in July and August. Therefore, it also closed two negative lines. . Then, if this trend continues, it is very likely that in the next month, a bottom reversal triangle will be formed on the monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, because the previous two upward Yang lines have a certain amount of heavy volume. . In recent months, the downward negative line has been shrinking, which is one of the most obvious signals of the bottom triangle. Therefore, as long as the Shanghai Composite Index does not fall below 2957 points, the follow-up market is expected to start a bottom reversal. The second signal is that the net sales of northbound funds this week reached 6.088 billion. Among them, Shanghai Stock Connect sold 2.777 billion this week, while Shenzhen Stock Connect sold 3.311 billion this week. Obviously, The outflow of funds from the Shenzhen market was significantly larger than that of the Shanghai market. This is also the case with the main capital. Therefore, the current capital situation is still biased towards a cautious situation. The signs of capital entering the market are not obvious, but they are all in a risk-averse situation. The third signal, in fact, is more troublesome in the financial sector. The securities sector index directly closed a large negative line on the weekly chart. Moreover, according to relevant data, the securities sector index fell by 6.83% this week. Originally, the securities sector index has also been running around the 30-week line for 5 consecutive weeks, and has not been broken through. At that time, the author has reminded that the long-term market will fall. As a result, this week, the securities sector index finally ushered in a wave. plummeting market. This drop directly broke the support points on the daily chart and the weekly chart, out of a clear downward trend, and the securities sector index is very important for the A-share market, which has played a role in The role of rising and falling. Now the securities sector is weakening as a whole, and many related stocks have also gone out of a cliff-like decline. Under this situation, the pressure on the A-share market tomorrow is expected to increase greatly, so this is also one of the biggest variables. . So, with the surprise of the three signals just now, will the stock market fall sharply again tomorrow? In the author's opinion, the current stock market is a bottom-building process. Even if the stock market will rise in the short term, it will only be a natural reversal of the market during the downturn. The reversal is not a reversal, which is very important important. Moreover, there are so many floating loss chips above, and the Fed’s interest rate hike expectations are constantly brewing, and the risks of the external stock market will be further passed on to the A-share market. Therefore, at this stage, it is better to be careful. |