September 7 stock market analysis and tomorrow's forecast

time:2022-12-09 14:11:21source:chakarski.com author:Individual stock analysis
September 7 stock market analysis and tomorrow's forecast

Today is Wednesday, September 7, 2022. After the market opened lower today, it fluctuated all the way and closed a small positive line! The lowest of the Shanghai Composite Index was 3227.82 points and the highest was 3253.77 points, up +0.09%. The index finally received 3246.29 points, up +2.84 points. According to the 15-minute K-line chart, the index rebounded at the M25 moving average. The 60-minute MACD red column shortened, but finally stood on M144. The daily chart volume can be reduced, closing a small Yangxian and a golden fork. Today, 2,262 companies have risen, 67 companies have daily limit, 2,378 companies have fallen, and 12 companies have fallen by the limit. The profit-making effect is relatively high! Net buying of northbound funds - 3.374 billion! In terms of sectors, the top three sectors with the best gains are general machinery, semiconductors, and electrical equipment, and the top three sectors with the largest declines are daily chemicals, media and entertainment, and the Internet. The gas supply and heating sector, today contracted a small positive line, and today saw a shrinkage increase. It touched the 10-day moving average, and finally stood on the 10-day moving average. The power sector, the volume can be enlarged today, closes the mid-yang line, the sector breaks through the high point on July 13, the M head pattern is broken, and the MACD golden cross, waiting to step back to the high point on July 13 is the time to enter! Pay close attention! The trend of general machinery sector is similar to that of industrial machinery sector. The general machinery sector is heavy today, closing in the yang line and MACD golden fork. There will be a safety period of about 4 days. I think the plate is doing a lure and eventually forming an M head! Pay attention to risk control. In the Internet sector, today's volume was slightly released, closed with a small negative line, the MACD green column was elongated, and fell below the bottom of the positive line on September 2. We must pay attention to whether the gap around 1789 points is filled, and also pay attention to whether the volume is sufficient. Maintain the rise, and now it is necessary to wait and see! The Internet is now in a volatile trend. There are gaps up and down, and it can't rise or fall! The volume of the oil sector can shrink and close the small Yangxian. After the upward gap appeared on September 5, it will continue to not cover the gap today, and see if it will be covered tomorrow. If it does not cover tomorrow, it is a strong performance of the sector, although the oil sector has formed The structural double bottom has been improved, but there is still no breakthrough in the box structure, continue to pay attention! The semiconductor board, the positive line in the volume of retraction and volume, has finally rebounded today after pulling back to the previous platform of about 2422 points. KDJ and MACD have double gold, and short-term opportunities will appear! Focus on the semiconductor sector! Thursday (September 8) market forecast: short-term market view: back to the disk, today's form formed three consecutive yang. At the same time, although the Shanghai Composite Index is not strong, the 5-day line has not broken through the 10-day line. But now these two moving averages have been completely upturned, and even if there is a shock later, it will become a strong support! With the subsequent addition of macro-positive empowerment, over time, both market sentiment and confidence will be effectively restored! Moreover, the GEM has stopped falling and rebounded. No matter what the future trend is, it will be safe at least until mid-September, which has virtually eliminated the hidden dangers at this level, and is also conducive to stabilizing the mood of retail investors. Such an overall market trend is naturally expected in the future! But the current difficulty is on the 20th line! If you do not stand firm this week, there will be frequent shocks at the short-term level! Also within this week, there is a high probability that this line will stand firm in the shock! As a result, today's close was just above the line. Technically speaking, the channel to the 60-day line near 3280 has been opened! But according to the probability, there may be some competition at the ultra-short-term level to finally stand firm. The market has the conditions for a sharp upside at any time. Not only will the general direction rise in the next two days, but there will also be a high probability of a mid-yang line during the period. Therefore, the possible shocks tomorrow are not only opportunities for running away, but opportunities for bargaining ! Market performance before the Mid-Autumn Festival: Probability refers to the Mid-Autumn Festival effect! And today has entered the time period affected by this effect! After careful statistics, I looked back at the history of the past ten years. The performance of A-shares before and after the festival was mostly up. As of yesterday, the probability of rising was 51.49%, and the probability of rising today has increased. Among them, the three days before the festival have been relatively volatile, and the probability of rising before today has been less than 50%. But three days after the holiday, it was relatively stable, continuing to maintain above 54%. At the same time, A-shares also showed a decrease in volume before the festival and a heavier volume after the festival. Based on this, it can be seen from the data that there is indeed a partial withdrawal of funds before the Mid-Autumn Festival. Today's market is up. Considering the pre-holiday probability, there is a high probability that there will be a shock one day in the next two days. Combined with the current three consecutive Yangs and the 20-day line of the long-short focus, the next shock will appear tomorrow. more likely. However, considering the current macro environment and the signs that the market is going up at any time, the more likely it is to rise later! But this is only a probability, because the uncertainty is extremely high! Many people are planted on this, it is not the probability that there is a problem, the problem lies in the heart! Some people make a quiz by doing what they are doing. If they don't win this time, they will double the next time, and they will be beaten completely by the probability. So remember, in the final analysis, it depends on the trend, and the probability can only be used as a reference and must not be relied upon! Follow me to help you understand the daily stock market quotes!
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