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Just now, the stock market gapped and opened lower, and an emergency came Just now, the stock market appeared to be very volatile, because at the opening of the market, the stock market gapped and opened lower, and then the three major A-share indexes also started a volatile market. Although the Shanghai Composite Index did show signs of turning red, in the end, Still mixed. It can be said that the current stock market has reached a more critical moment, why? Because, the Shanghai Composite Index broke through the quarterly line yesterday. If it cannot stay above the quarterly line recently, then it may just be a false breakout. If the market can remain above the quarterly line, it means a real breakthrough Quotes. Therefore, today's stock market is very important, including the Shenzhen Component Index, which is basically the same situation. Only the GEM situation seems to be a bit bad. The main reason is that it is the monthly line. Originally, yesterday, the ChiNext Index broke through the monthly line, but when the market just opened, the ChiNext Index directly gapped and opened lower, and there was a continuous volatile downward trend during the session. Moreover, the Growth Enterprise Market unexpectedly fell below the monthly support. Therefore, in the early trading, the polarization of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was still relatively obvious. Be a little more resilient. Judging from today's disk, oil and gas, shale gas, and port shipping and other sectors have seen a clear rise in the market. On the contrary, the previously strong sectors of kitchen and bathroom appliances, power equipment, and communication equipment have just died out. What's more troublesome is that just now, when the stock market gapped and opened lower, an emergency came. What was this emergency? It can be seen that the big financial sector has been driving the market atmosphere recently. However, the situation of the big financial sector is obviously not much, because the big financial sector directly gapped and opened lower when the market opened. . This also led to the stock index opening lower. Although during the intraday period, the big financial sector did experience a surge in the market, and the securities sector index even turned red for a while, but there is still a very critical issue to face, that is, the banking sector is about to face the Line suppression. At this stage, the banking sector index is around 886 points, while the monthly line is around 894 points. That is to say, the monthly line is very close to the banking sector index. Therefore, the banking sector index will inevitably face the suppression of the monthly sector in the short term. strength, and the pressure is not weak. Under this circumstance, the author believes that the short-term banking sector index is expected to experience greater volatility. The situation in the securities sector is different, because the securities sector index broke through the half-year line yesterday, and it is possible to continue to rise as long as it can stabilize above the half-year line. However, at present, it does have certain difficulties. Of course, it is not very likely that the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets will fall, but it is more likely to break out of the range. There are three reasons. First, judging from the current overall kinetic energy of the Shanghai Composite Index, if it falls below the sideways range of 3198 points to 3400 points, it will inevitably form a very obvious multi-level and multi-level divergence resonance. Therefore, this makes the Shanghai Composite Index have A certain receiving plate. Second, at present, the Shanghai Composite Index has broken through most of the moving averages below. The pressure brought by the floating loss chips on the disk is not too great, only the pressure brought by the floating profit chips. Compared with the floating loss chips, this The pressure is naturally less. Third, it can be seen from the monthly chart that the Shanghai Composite Index actually had a dip in this month. However, the so-called stop-and-rebound market emerged near the 60-month line. Obviously, in the 60-month period The line acts as support for the current index. Moreover, there is now a hammer star on the monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, which shows that the support below is not weak. There is a so-called successor, at least the willingness to enter the market is still strong. Therefore, based on the above three reasons, the author believes that the stock market is unlikely to break the sideways trend in the short term, but will maintain the sideways market, so the possibility of falling exists, but it is not too big. If the big financial sector can continue to rise in the future, it may be able to drive the Shanghai Composite Index back to the top of the sideways. The impact is too great. |