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Things are not quite right on Thursday, the stock market is about to change? In fact, the stock market on Thursday was quite abrupt, because when the market opened, the stock market smashed again. Basically, the three major A-share indexes all gapped and fell. Of course, during the intraday, they also maintained With this kind of jumping situation. Although the ChiNext turned red during the session, the trend of rising and falling throughout the day is still relatively obvious. At least, based on the current situation, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have indeed reached a clear turning point. In other words, in the next market, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets will at least break the current sideways trend and go out of a short-term directional market. It is worth noting that it is only a short-term direction, and the medium-term is still in the sideways space. Just run. However, the stock market crashed again on Thursday. The situation is not quite right. Is the stock market going to change? In fact, there are still three reasons for the stock market crash today, and it is precisely these three reasons that determine how the stock market will go next, or what? First, the three major U.S. stock indexes are basically in a downward trend. Therefore, when the Asia-Pacific stock market opens today, it is basically in a downward state. Then, A shares will naturally be affected by the so-called linkage effect. influences. Including the South Korean Composite Index, the East Expedition Index, and the Australian Ordinary Stock Index, etc. are actually in a downward trend. Under such circumstances, how can A-shares be immune? Therefore, it is natural to follow the decline at the opening. Second, the author said before that the three major indexes of Shanghai Composite Index, ChiNext, and Shenzhen Component Index diverged on half-hour charts, hourly charts, and other short-cycle trend charts. Levels of departure from resonance. Once such a situation occurs, the so-called covering deviation will basically appear in the market. Recently, in the last 5 trading days, the Shanghai Composite Index has gone out of a wave of sideways, and it has continued to close out small Yin Xiaoyang. Third, the market capital, including hot money, the main capital is still around the heavyweight sector. Although there has been a certain diversion phenomenon before, this diversion phenomenon is very weak and not very obvious. The volatility of heavyweight stocks has also exacerbated the volatility of the stock market. Today, the performance of heavyweight stocks is not ideal, which once again dragged down the three major A-share indices. This is a matter of mutual influence, and at the same time, it also verifies a key problem. That is, the lack of market hot spots has also led to a downturn in the market atmosphere. The phenomenon of new and old funds wandering in the boss block is very obvious. Moreover, the overall rotation of the market is not continuous, but is accelerating the rotation. in the situation. Therefore, because of the above three reasons, the author believes that the stock market has smashed again, which is actually quite normal. The current situation is not quite right. What is wrong is that after the market has completed a breakthrough, it has continued to trade sideways. Generally speaking, if after the breakthrough, it does not continue to attack, but it is only sideways for two or three trading days. Well, this is not a break. Then, it is very likely that the funds have created a breakthrough hypothesis, creating a so-called positive technically, so as to complete the action of leaving the market. Moreover, in the recent period, the Shanghai Composite Index has basically been in a state of small yin and small yang. This shows that after the breakthrough, in fact, the strength of the long and short sides of the market is similar. So, what's next for the stock market? The author believes that the possibility of the stock market continuing to go up is not high, at least in the short term, the upward pressure on the stock market has greatly increased, and the main funds have been in a state of outflow for a period of time. Now the situation is that the chips of the floating profit market are leaving the market. At this time, the high probability of entering the market is the so-called pick-up man. Moreover, the market is only going sideways, and usually sideways cannot repair the deviation, so there will definitely be a wave. Smashed down the market. Therefore, to sum up the above, based on the analysis of various factors, as well as the capital, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market conditions, at this time, it is still necessary to wait and see, because the stock market is about to change. Of course, the market will change. Only in the sideways range. |